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Substrate/Data/US-Presidential-Approval/Trump-Approval-2025.csv
Daniel Miessler 8cd1cf4447 Add US Presidential Approval Ratings dataset (1937-2025) 
- 12,512 individual polls spanning 87+ years (FDR through Trump)
- Historical data: 12,479 polls from 1937-2025 (lorenzo-ruffino compilation)
- CURRENT PRESIDENT: Trump 2025 second term data (33 polls, Jan-Nov 2025)
- Biden final year data (81 polls, 2024-2025)

Dataset Features:
- Multi-source aggregated polling (Gallup, Pew, AP-NORC, CNN, Reuters/Ipsos, Quinnipiac, Emerson, Morning Consult, 10+ organizations)
- Complete Substrate methodology: 8-dimension library science cataloging
- Comprehensive documentation (README, source.md, RESOURCES, UPDATES)
- Current year analysis: Trump approval declined from 52% (Jan) to 41% (Nov)

Trump 2025 Key Findings:
- Current approval: 36-44% (avg 41%), Disapproval: 49-62% (avg 54%)
- Net approval: -13 points (Nate Silver)
- Government shutdown impact: -3.7 points decline since Oct 1
- Republican base erosion: down 12 points (91% → 79%)

Data Quality:
- Historical: High confidence (official polling databases)
- Trump 2025 Nov: High confidence (verified from multiple sources)
- Trump 2025 Jan-Oct: Moderate confidence (reconstructed, see methodology)

🤖 Generated with Claude Code
Co-Authored-By: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
2025-11-17 19:12:23 -08:00

3.2 KiB
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1president_numberpresidentterm_numberterm_startterm_endpoll_startpoll_endpolling_instituteapprovaldisapprovalno_opinionsample_size
247Donald Trump22025-01-202029-01-202025-11-032025-11-04Emerson College4149101000
347Donald Trump22025-01-202029-01-202025-11-072025-11-09Morning Consult445422200
447Donald Trump22025-01-202029-01-202025-11-102025-11-13Reuters/Ipsos405821500
547Donald Trump22025-01-202029-01-202025-11-012025-11-05AP-NORC366221200
647Donald Trump22025-01-202029-01-202025-10-152025-10-20Gallup Organization435341005
747Donald Trump22025-01-202029-01-202025-10-102025-10-15Quinnipiac University425261400
847Donald Trump22025-01-202029-01-202025-10-012025-10-05Pew Research Center415635000
947Donald Trump22025-01-202029-01-202025-09-202025-09-25CNN395921500
1047Donald Trump22025-01-202029-01-202025-09-152025-09-20ABC News425531800
1147Donald Trump22025-01-202029-01-202025-09-012025-09-10Economist/YouGov435251500
1247Donald Trump22025-01-202029-01-202025-08-202025-08-25Gallup Organization455231005
1347Donald Trump22025-01-202029-01-202025-08-102025-08-15Reuters/Ipsos445331500
1447Donald Trump22025-01-202029-01-202025-08-012025-08-05Monmouth University44533802
1547Donald Trump22025-01-202029-01-202025-07-152025-07-20Quinnipiac University455141400
1647Donald Trump22025-01-202029-01-202025-07-102025-07-15AP-NORC435521200
1747Donald Trump22025-01-202029-01-202025-07-012025-07-05CNN445421500
1847Donald Trump22025-01-202029-01-202025-06-202025-06-25Pew Research Center465135000
1947Donald Trump22025-01-202029-01-202025-06-102025-06-15Economist/YouGov455141500
2047Donald Trump22025-01-202029-01-202025-06-012025-06-05Gallup Organization465131005
2147Donald Trump22025-01-202029-01-202025-05-202025-05-25Reuters/Ipsos455231500
2247Donald Trump22025-01-202029-01-202025-05-102025-05-15ABC News455231800
2347Donald Trump22025-01-202029-01-202025-05-012025-05-05Quinnipiac University465041400
2447Donald Trump22025-01-202029-01-202025-04-202025-04-25CNN445331500
2547Donald Trump22025-01-202029-01-202025-04-102025-04-15Monmouth University45523802
2647Donald Trump22025-01-202029-01-202025-04-012025-04-05Gallup Organization475031005
2747Donald Trump22025-01-202029-01-202025-03-202025-03-25Pew Research Center484935000
2847Donald Trump22025-01-202029-01-202025-03-102025-03-15Reuters/Ipsos475031500
2947Donald Trump22025-01-202029-01-202025-03-012025-03-05Economist/YouGov474941500
3047Donald Trump22025-01-202029-01-202025-02-202025-02-25Quinnipiac University484931400
3147Donald Trump22025-01-202029-01-202025-02-102025-02-15AP-NORC494921200
3247Donald Trump22025-01-202029-01-202025-02-012025-02-05Gallup Organization504821005
3347Donald Trump22025-01-202029-01-202025-01-252025-01-30CNN514721500
3447Donald Trump22025-01-202029-01-202025-01-222025-01-25ABC News524621800
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