Files
Substrate/Data/US-Presidential-Approval/Biden-Approval-2024-2025.csv
Daniel Miessler 8cd1cf4447 Add US Presidential Approval Ratings dataset (1937-2025)
- 12,512 individual polls spanning 87+ years (FDR through Trump)
- Historical data: 12,479 polls from 1937-2025 (lorenzo-ruffino compilation)
- CURRENT PRESIDENT: Trump 2025 second term data (33 polls, Jan-Nov 2025)
- Biden final year data (81 polls, 2024-2025)

Dataset Features:
- Multi-source aggregated polling (Gallup, Pew, AP-NORC, CNN, Reuters/Ipsos, Quinnipiac, Emerson, Morning Consult, 10+ organizations)
- Complete Substrate methodology: 8-dimension library science cataloging
- Comprehensive documentation (README, source.md, RESOURCES, UPDATES)
- Current year analysis: Trump approval declined from 52% (Jan) to 41% (Nov)

Trump 2025 Key Findings:
- Current approval: 36-44% (avg 41%), Disapproval: 49-62% (avg 54%)
- Net approval: -13 points (Nate Silver)
- Government shutdown impact: -3.7 points decline since Oct 1
- Republican base erosion: down 12 points (91% → 79%)

Data Quality:
- Historical: High confidence (official polling databases)
- Trump 2025 Nov: High confidence (verified from multiple sources)
- Trump 2025 Jan-Oct: Moderate confidence (reconstructed, see methodology)

🤖 Generated with Claude Code
Co-Authored-By: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
2025-11-17 19:12:23 -08:00

7.6 KiB

1president_numberpresidentterm_numberterm_startterm_endpoll_startpoll_endpolling_instituteapprovaldisapprovalno_opinionsample_size
246Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202025-01-162025-01-19American Research Group375851100
346Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202025-01-022025-01-15Gallup Organization405461005
446Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202025-01-092025-01-13Associated Press/NORC Center415731147
546Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202025-01-092025-01-12CNN366401205
646Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-12-172024-12-20American Research Group375671100
746Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-12-122024-12-16Quinnipiac University385210924
846Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-12-132024-12-15Reuters/Ipsos385751029
946Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-12-022024-12-11Marquette Law School346601063
1046Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-12-052024-12-09Associated Press/NORC Center396011251
1146Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-11-062024-11-20Gallup Organization375851001
1246Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-11-172024-11-20American Research Group415361100
1346Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-10-042024-11-08NBC News435431000
1446Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-10-142024-10-27Gallup Organization415631007
1546Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-10-252024-10-27Ipsos356051150
1646Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-10-202024-10-23CNN366401704
1746Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-10-182024-10-22ABC News365772808
1846Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-10-172024-10-20American Research Group445061100
1946Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-10-142024-10-18Suffolk / USA Today445431000
2046Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-10-112024-10-14Associated Press/NORC Center435701072
2146Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-10-112024-10-13Ipsos36577938
2246Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-10-012024-10-12Gallup Organization395651023
2346Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-09-302024-10-06Pew356325110
2446Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-09-192024-09-22Quinnipiac University4255NA1728
2546Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-09-172024-09-20American Research Group444971100
2646Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-09-132024-09-17NBC News445421000
2746Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-09-032024-09-15Gallup Organization395831007
2846Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-08-252024-08-28Suffolk / USA Today484931000
2946Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-08-172024-08-20American Research Group454961100
3046Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-07-242024-08-01Marquette Law School39610879
3146Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-07-262024-07-29Reuters/Ipsos375851025
3246Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-07-222024-07-24NY Times Upshot/Siena College415631142
3346Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-07-012024-07-21Gallup Organization365851010
3446Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-07-192024-07-21Quinnipiac University395751257
3546Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-07-172024-07-20American Research Group415361100
3646Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-07-052024-07-09ABC News / Washington Post365772431
3746Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-07-072024-07-09NBC News40582800
3846Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-07-012024-07-07Pew326629424
3946Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-06-282024-07-02NY Times Upshot/Siena College346241532
4046Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-06-282024-06-30CNN366401274
4146Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-06-282024-06-30Suffolk / USA Today415721000
4246Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-06-202024-06-25NY Times Upshot/Siena College356141226
4346Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-06-202024-06-24Quinnipiac University385841405
4446Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-06-202024-06-24Associated Press/NORC Center396101088
4546Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-06-212024-06-23Reuters/Ipsos375761019
4646Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-06-172024-06-20American Research Group445151100
4746Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-05-012024-05-23Gallup Organization395651024
4846Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-05-162024-05-20Quinnipiac University395651374
4946Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-05-172024-05-20Ipsos365951017
5046Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-05-172024-05-20American Research Group395651100
5146Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-04-252024-04-30ABC News355782260
5246Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-04-182024-04-23CNN406001212
5346Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-04-012024-04-22Gallup Organization385841001
5446Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-04-182024-04-22Quinnipiac University356141429
5546Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-04-172024-04-20American Research Group425351100
5646Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-04-122024-04-16NBC News425621000
5746Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-04-082024-04-14Pew356228709
5846Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-04-122024-04-14Reuters/Ipsos385661016
5946Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-04-072024-04-11NY Times Upshot/Siena College385931059
6046Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-03-182024-03-28Marquette Law School39600780
6146Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-03-212024-03-25Associated Press/NORC Center386111282
6246Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-03-212024-03-25Quinnipiac University375931407
6346Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-03-222024-03-24Reuters/Ipsos405641021
6446Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-03-012024-03-20Gallup Organization405551016
6546Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-03-172024-03-20American Research Group465041100
6646Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-03-152024-03-19CNBC395651001
6746Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-03-112024-03-17Grinnell College345791005
6846Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-03-082024-03-11Suffolk / USA Today415541000
6946Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-02-232024-02-25Reuters/Ipsos375851020
7046Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-02-012024-02-20Gallup Organization385931016
7146Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-02-172024-02-20American Research Group435161100
7246Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-02-152024-02-19Quinnipiac University405731421
7346Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-02-052024-02-15Marquette Law School38610882
7446Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-01-252024-01-30CNN386201212
7546Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-01-262024-01-30NBC News376031000
7646Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-01-252024-01-29Quinnipiac University415541650
7746Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-01-252024-01-29Associated Press/NORC Center386111152
7846Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-01-262024-01-28Reuters/Ipsos385751019
7946Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-01-022024-01-22Gallup Organization415451011
8046Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-01-162024-01-21Pew336515140
8146Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-01-172024-01-20American Research Group405461100
8246Joe Biden12021-01-202025-01-202024-01-042024-01-08ABC News335892228