0698daea69
- Add DE-Platform-Media (DS-00015), DE-Epistemic-Competence (DS-00016), DE-Social-Mobility (DS-00017) with source stubs - Update DE-Democracy-Metrics, DE-Federal-Budget, DE-Lobby-Transparency, DE-Parliament-Activity, Knowledge-Worker salaries - Add get-de-digital script for digital economy data retrieval - Update de-plan1-sven with revised strategy sections - Rename flat-dir index files to .md (Arguments, Claims, Problems, Values) - Append new entries to Data/UPDATES.md Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
92 lines
4.0 KiB
Markdown
92 lines
4.0 KiB
Markdown
# DE Social Mobility
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**Last Updated:** 2026-04-20
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**Update Method:** Manual — Destatis (annual), OECD EAG via SDMX API (annual), PISA (triennial)
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**Coverage:** Educational stratification by parental background, intergenerational mobility — Germany
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---
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## 🎯 BEST ESTIMATE
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| Metric | Value | Confidence | Last Updated |
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|--------|-------|------------|--------------|
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| **Gymnasium rate — high-education parents** | **61%** | 90% | 2015 (Destatis) |
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| **Gymnasium rate — low-education parents** | **14%** | 90% | 2015 (Destatis) |
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| **Education spending % GDP — government only** | **4.0% (2020), 3.6% (2017)** | 95% | 2020 (OECD EAG) |
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| **Education spending % GDP — all sources** | **4.6% (2020)** | 95% | 2020 (OECD EAG) |
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| **OECD average education spending — all sources** | **5.1% (2020)** | 95% | 2020 (OECD EAG) |
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**One-liner:** 61% vs. 14% Gymnasium rate — Germany's parental education gap.
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**Caveat:** Gymnasium stratification data from Destatis 2015 — needs manual refresh; education spending figures lag 4+ years (OECD EAG 2020).
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---
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## Quick Context
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Germany's educational success is strongly predicted by parental education: 61% of children from high-education families attend Gymnasium vs. 14% from low-education backgrounds (Destatis 2015). Germany's education spending (4.6% GDP, all sources, 2020) remains below the OECD average of 5.1%.
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---
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## Detailed Findings
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### Gymnasium Rate by Parental Education (Destatis 2015)
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| Parental education level | Share attending Gymnasium (under-15s, 2015) |
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|--------------------------|---------------------------------------------|
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| High educational attainment | 61% |
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| Low educational attainment | 14% |
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*Source: Statistisches Bundesamt. Manual update required — search Destatis for current Gymnasialquoten by parental education.*
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### Education Spending as % of GDP — Germany vs. OECD (OECD EAG, SDMX live)
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| Year | Government only (S13) | All sources | OECD avg (all sources) |
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|------|-----------------------|-------------|------------------------|
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| 2017 | 3.6% | 4.2% | — |
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| 2018 | 3.7% | 4.2% | — |
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| 2019 | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% |
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| 2020 | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% |
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*Source: OECD SDMX API — `OECD.EDU.IMEP,DSD_EAG_UOE_FIN@DF_UOE_INDIC_FIN_GDP`. ISCED 1T8 (primary to tertiary), direct expenditure. Fetch: see DS-00017 source catalog.*
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---
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## Source Analysis
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| Source | Strengths | Weaknesses | Weight |
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|--------|-----------|------------|--------|
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| **Destatis Bildungsquoten** | Official; annual; direct measurement | 2015 data — needs manual refresh | High |
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| **OECD EAG SDMX API** | Live; annual; official; cross-national comparable | ~18-month data lag | Very High |
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| **PISA/IGLU** | Direct competency + background measurement | Triennial; PISA 15-year-olds only | High (for update) |
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---
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## Research Metadata
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| Attribute | Value |
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|-----------|-------|
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| **Research Date** | 2026-04-20 |
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| **Researcher** | Sven / PAI |
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| **Method** | Destatis (Gymnasium rates); OECD SDMX API live fetch (education spending) |
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| **Confidence Level** | 90–95% for cited figures |
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| **Known Gaps** | Destatis Gymnasium figures from 2015; intergenerational income elasticity not yet included; PISA socioeconomic effect size not yet fetched |
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| **Update Frequency** | Destatis: annual; OECD EAG: annual (autumn) |
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---
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## Connection to DE-Plan
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- 61% vs. 14% Gymnasium rate → **CHALLENGE 5**: educational stratification structurally produces epistemic competence gap
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- Low upward mobility → **CHALLENGE 4**: precarity entrenches exhaustion across generations; democratic participation requires material stability
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- Bildungsmobilität gap → **CHALLENGE 1**: epistemically divided population is partially a product of structurally unequal knowledge access
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---
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## Changelog
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| Date | Change | Reason |
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|------|--------|--------|
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| 2026-04-20 | Initial dataset created | Structural cause of CHALLENGE 5 knowledge isolation |
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| 2026-04-20 | Education spending updated via OECD SDMX API; IWH removed | Direct authoritative source preferred over 2017 commentary |
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