0698daea69
- Add DE-Platform-Media (DS-00015), DE-Epistemic-Competence (DS-00016), DE-Social-Mobility (DS-00017) with source stubs - Update DE-Democracy-Metrics, DE-Federal-Budget, DE-Lobby-Transparency, DE-Parliament-Activity, Knowledge-Worker salaries - Add get-de-digital script for digital economy data retrieval - Update de-plan1-sven with revised strategy sections - Rename flat-dir index files to .md (Arguments, Claims, Problems, Values) - Append new entries to Data/UPDATES.md Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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DE Social Mobility
Last Updated: 2026-04-20 Update Method: Manual — Destatis (annual), OECD EAG via SDMX API (annual), PISA (triennial) Coverage: Educational stratification by parental background, intergenerational mobility — Germany
🎯 BEST ESTIMATE
| Metric | Value | Confidence | Last Updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gymnasium rate — high-education parents | 61% | 90% | 2015 (Destatis) |
| Gymnasium rate — low-education parents | 14% | 90% | 2015 (Destatis) |
| Education spending % GDP — government only | 4.0% (2020), 3.6% (2017) | 95% | 2020 (OECD EAG) |
| Education spending % GDP — all sources | 4.6% (2020) | 95% | 2020 (OECD EAG) |
| OECD average education spending — all sources | 5.1% (2020) | 95% | 2020 (OECD EAG) |
One-liner: 61% vs. 14% Gymnasium rate — Germany's parental education gap.
Caveat: Gymnasium stratification data from Destatis 2015 — needs manual refresh; education spending figures lag 4+ years (OECD EAG 2020).
Quick Context
Germany's educational success is strongly predicted by parental education: 61% of children from high-education families attend Gymnasium vs. 14% from low-education backgrounds (Destatis 2015). Germany's education spending (4.6% GDP, all sources, 2020) remains below the OECD average of 5.1%.
Detailed Findings
Gymnasium Rate by Parental Education (Destatis 2015)
| Parental education level | Share attending Gymnasium (under-15s, 2015) |
|---|---|
| High educational attainment | 61% |
| Low educational attainment | 14% |
Source: Statistisches Bundesamt. Manual update required — search Destatis for current Gymnasialquoten by parental education.
Education Spending as % of GDP — Germany vs. OECD (OECD EAG, SDMX live)
| Year | Government only (S13) | All sources | OECD avg (all sources) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 3.6% | 4.2% | — |
| 2018 | 3.7% | 4.2% | — |
| 2019 | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% |
| 2020 | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% |
Source: OECD SDMX API — OECD.EDU.IMEP,DSD_EAG_UOE_FIN@DF_UOE_INDIC_FIN_GDP. ISCED 1T8 (primary to tertiary), direct expenditure. Fetch: see DS-00017 source catalog.
Source Analysis
| Source | Strengths | Weaknesses | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Destatis Bildungsquoten | Official; annual; direct measurement | 2015 data — needs manual refresh | High |
| OECD EAG SDMX API | Live; annual; official; cross-national comparable | ~18-month data lag | Very High |
| PISA/IGLU | Direct competency + background measurement | Triennial; PISA 15-year-olds only | High (for update) |
Research Metadata
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Research Date | 2026-04-20 |
| Researcher | Sven / PAI |
| Method | Destatis (Gymnasium rates); OECD SDMX API live fetch (education spending) |
| Confidence Level | 90–95% for cited figures |
| Known Gaps | Destatis Gymnasium figures from 2015; intergenerational income elasticity not yet included; PISA socioeconomic effect size not yet fetched |
| Update Frequency | Destatis: annual; OECD EAG: annual (autumn) |
Connection to DE-Plan
- 61% vs. 14% Gymnasium rate → CHALLENGE 5: educational stratification structurally produces epistemic competence gap
- Low upward mobility → CHALLENGE 4: precarity entrenches exhaustion across generations; democratic participation requires material stability
- Bildungsmobilität gap → CHALLENGE 1: epistemically divided population is partially a product of structurally unequal knowledge access
Changelog
| Date | Change | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-20 | Initial dataset created | Structural cause of CHALLENGE 5 knowledge isolation |
| 2026-04-20 | Education spending updated via OECD SDMX API; IWH removed | Direct authoritative source preferred over 2017 commentary |