34c99ec7a9
Renames (consistent naming convention): - DE-Church-Exits, DE-Mental-Health, DE-Social-Isolation, DE-Wastewater-Surveillance, DE-Wellbeing, DE-World-Values New source catalog entries (DS-00021 through DS-00027): - Church Exits (EKD/DBK), Common Metrics (Destatis/Bundesbank/BA/ZEW), Democracy Metrics (V-Dem/RSF/ALLBUS), Mental Health (Gallup/Destatis/DAK), Social Isolation (Genesis/Einsamkeitsstudie), Wellbeing (Eurostat EHIS), World Values (WVS/EVS) All 16 DE datasets + 1 EU dataset now have consistent naming and source catalogs. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
63 lines
2.5 KiB
Markdown
63 lines
2.5 KiB
Markdown
# DE Church Exits — Kirchenaustritte
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## 🎯 BEST ESTIMATE
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| Metric | Value | Confidence | Last Updated |
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|--------|-------|------------|--------------|
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| **Annual exits 2022 (all-time high)** | **~903,000** | 85% | 2026-04-22 |
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| **Annual exits 2023** | **~804,000** | 70% | 2026-04-22 |
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| **Cumulative exits 2010–2023** | **~6.7M** | 80% | 2026-04-22 |
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**One-liner:** Germany lost ~900k church members in 2022 — 48% Catholic, 52% Protestant.
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**Caveat:** 2016–2019 EKD figures are rounded approximations; exact counts from published tables only available in official Zahlen-und-Fakten PDFs.
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---
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## Quick Context
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Germany's two major Christian denominations (EKD Protestant, DBK Catholic) have seen accelerating membership loss since 2010. The 2021–2022 spike coincides with the Munich abuse investigation (*Münchner Gutachten*) published January 2022. Church exits are a direct proxy for institutional trust collapse — a key dimension of PR-00001 (Meaning Crisis).
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---
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## Methodology Summary
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**Approach:** Hardcoded annual series from EKD Kirchenmitgliederstatistik and DBK Kirchliche Statistik (published annually). Exit counts are official registered Kirchenaustritte (formal resignation filings at civil registry offices).
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**Sources:**
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- EKD Zahlen und Fakten: https://www.ekd.de/statistik-kirchenmitglieder.htm
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- DBK Kirchliche Statistik: https://www.dbk.de/presse/daten-und-fakten/kirchliche-statistik/
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- Statista aggregate: https://de.statista.com/statistik/daten/studie/1254/umfrage/kirchenaustritte-in-deutschland-nach-konfession/
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**Definition:** Kirchenaustritt = formal legal resignation from church membership, filed at local Standesamt (civil registry office). Incurs end of Kirchensteuer obligation.
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---
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## Substrate Connection
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- **Problem:** PR-00001 (Meaning Crisis)
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- **Proxy cluster:** Institutional Trust Loss
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- **Argument:** AR-00004 (Meaning Crisis Is Empirically Measurable)
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---
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## Changelog
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| Date | Change | Reason |
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|------|--------|--------|
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| 2026-04-22 | Initial dataset created | PR-00001 evidence expansion |
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---
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## Data Source Notes
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EKD and DBK do not provide public APIs or downloadable datasets. Data must be manually extracted from:
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- Annual "Kirchenmitglieder" press releases (EKD, November each year)
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- Annual "Kirchliche Statistik" report (DBK, July–September each year)
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For automated monitoring, consider scraping:
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- https://www.ekd.de/statistik-kirchenmitglieder.htm
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- https://www.dbk.de/presse/daten-und-fakten/kirchliche-statistik/
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