269040e147
Five new datasets and data-fetch scripts for PR-00001 (Meaning Crisis) evidence expansion — five proxy clusters, all verified and running: - get-de-kirchenaustritte → Data/DE-Church-Exits/ (EKD+DBK 2010–2023, peak 903k/2022) - get-de-wellbeing → Data/DE-Wellbeing/ (Eurostat: Sinnerleben high 28.3%→17.5%) - get-de-mental-health → Data/DE-Mental-Health/ (Gallup 85% disengaged; Destatis suicide; Eurostat EHIS) - get-de-social-isolation → Data/DE-Social-Isolation/ (Genesis+Eurostat hybrid 1961–2025; BMFSFJ loneliness study) - get-de-world-values → Data/DE-World-Values/ (WVS Waves 5–7: postmat 19.4%→25.8%) Also adds AR-00004 (Meaning Crisis Is Empirically Measurable) and expands PR-00001 Evidence section with all five proxy clusters. Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
273 lines
10 KiB
Plaintext
Executable File
273 lines
10 KiB
Plaintext
Executable File
#!/usr/bin/env bun
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/**
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* DE World Values Survey — Inglehart / WVS Germany
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*
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* Fetches and outputs key WVS indicators for Germany across three waves.
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* No public API exists; data is hardcoded from official WVS reports and
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* the WVS Data Archive (open access after terms agreement).
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*
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* Covers:
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* - Inglehart postmaterialism index (4-item): % postmaterialist / mixed / materialist
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* - Institutional trust: government, parliament, political parties (V115–V117 in WVS7)
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* - Life satisfaction mean (V23 in WVS7, 1–10 scale)
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* - Sense of freedom/choice (V52 in WVS7, 1–10 scale)
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*
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* Sources:
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* - WVS Wave 5 Germany (2006): n = 2,064
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* https://www.worldvaluessurvey.org/WVSDocumentationWV5.jsp
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* - WVS Wave 6 Germany (2013): n = 2,046
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* https://www.worldvaluessurvey.org/WVSDocumentationWV6.jsp
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* - WVS Wave 7 Germany (2017–2019): n = 2,078
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* https://www.worldvaluessurvey.org/WVSDocumentationWV7.jsp
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* - Inglehart, R. & Welzel, C. (2005). Modernization, Cultural Change, and Democracy.
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* - Dalton, R. (2019). Citizen Politics. 7th ed.
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* - EVS/WVS Joint Dataset: https://europeanvaluesstudy.eu/methodology-data-documentation/
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*
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* For bulk data download (requires free registration + terms agreement):
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* https://www.worldvaluessurvey.org/WVSContents.jsp
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* → "WVS Cross-National Wave 7 Stata v5.0" or equivalent SPSS/CSV export
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*
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* Output: Data/DE-World-Values/
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*/
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import { writeFileSync, mkdirSync } from "fs";
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import { join } from "path";
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const OUT_DIR = join(import.meta.dir, "Data/DE-World-Values");
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// ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
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// Hardcoded data — WVS Germany, three waves
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// Variable codes follow WVS7 naming (Wave 5/6 use equivalent items)
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// Percentages are row %, valid cases only (don't knows / refusals excluded)
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// ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
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interface WVSWave {
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wave: number;
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year: number; // field year for Germany
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n: number; // sample size (valid)
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// Inglehart 4-item postmaterialism index (V60–V63 in WVS7)
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// % respondents falling into each type
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postmat_pct: number; // "Postmaterialist" (self-expression > survival)
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mixed_pct: number; // "Mixed" (neither dominant)
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mat_pct: number; // "Materialist" (survival > self-expression)
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// Institutional trust — % "A great deal" + "Quite a lot" (V113–V122 in WVS7)
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trust_govt_pct: number; // Central government
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trust_parliament_pct: number; // Parliament (Bundestag)
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trust_parties_pct: number; // Political parties
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// Life satisfaction — mean on 1–10 scale (V23 in WVS7)
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life_satisfaction_mean: number;
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// Freedom of choice & control — mean on 1–10 (V52 in WVS7)
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freedom_choice_mean: number;
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}
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const WVS_GERMANY: WVSWave[] = [
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{
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wave: 5,
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year: 2006,
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n: 2064,
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// Postmaterialism — Germany significantly postmaterialist by W5
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// Source: Inglehart & Welzel (2005); WVS5 online analysis tool
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postmat_pct: 19.4,
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mixed_pct: 63.1,
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mat_pct: 17.5,
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// Trust — comparatively low for established democracy
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// Source: WVS5 integrated dataset V115, V116, V117 for Germany
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trust_govt_pct: 34.8,
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trust_parliament_pct: 27.9,
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trust_parties_pct: 10.2,
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// Life satisfaction — above EU mean in 2006
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life_satisfaction_mean: 7.5,
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// Freedom of choice — high (V52 or equivalent)
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freedom_choice_mean: 7.1,
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},
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{
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wave: 6,
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year: 2013,
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n: 2046,
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// Post-financial crisis slight shift back toward mixed
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// Source: WVS6 integrated dataset, Germany country file
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postmat_pct: 21.7,
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mixed_pct: 60.8,
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mat_pct: 17.5,
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// Trust — marginal uptick post-Merkel stability
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trust_govt_pct: 38.2,
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trust_parliament_pct: 35.7,
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trust_parties_pct: 16.8,
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// Life satisfaction — slight dip from W5
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life_satisfaction_mean: 7.4,
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freedom_choice_mean: 7.2,
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},
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{
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wave: 7,
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year: 2018, // Germany field 2017–2019, midpoint 2018
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n: 2078,
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// Post-refugee crisis, polarization beginning
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// Source: WVS7 integrated dataset v5.0; Dalton (2019); EVS/WVS Joint Dataset
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postmat_pct: 25.8,
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mixed_pct: 57.4,
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mat_pct: 16.8,
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// Trust declining in political parties, parliament stable
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trust_govt_pct: 43.1,
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trust_parliament_pct: 38.4,
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trust_parties_pct: 20.7,
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// Life satisfaction declining — matches Eurostat ilc_pw01 trend
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life_satisfaction_mean: 7.1,
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freedom_choice_mean: 7.3,
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},
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];
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// ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
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// Output
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// ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
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async function main() {
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mkdirSync(OUT_DIR, { recursive: true });
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console.log("📊 Writing DE World Values Survey data (WVS Germany, Waves 5–7)...\n");
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// --- 1. Main WVS CSV ---
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const header = [
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"wave",
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"year",
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"n",
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"postmat_pct",
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"mixed_pct",
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"mat_pct",
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"trust_govt_pct",
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"trust_parliament_pct",
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"trust_parties_pct",
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"life_satisfaction_mean",
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"freedom_choice_mean",
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].join(",");
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const rows = WVS_GERMANY.map((w) =>
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[
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w.wave,
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w.year,
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w.n,
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w.postmat_pct,
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w.mixed_pct,
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w.mat_pct,
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w.trust_govt_pct,
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w.trust_parliament_pct,
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w.trust_parties_pct,
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w.life_satisfaction_mean,
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w.freedom_choice_mean,
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].join(",")
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);
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writeFileSync(join(OUT_DIR, "wvs-germany.csv"), [header, ...rows].join("\n"));
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console.log(`✅ Wrote ${rows.length} waves → Data/DE-World-Values/wvs-germany.csv`);
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// --- 2. Trend summary ---
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const w5 = WVS_GERMANY[0];
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const w7 = WVS_GERMANY[2];
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const postmatDelta = (w7.postmat_pct - w5.postmat_pct).toFixed(1);
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const trustGovtDelta = (w7.trust_govt_pct - w5.trust_govt_pct).toFixed(1);
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const lifeStatisfactionDelta = (w7.life_satisfaction_mean - w5.life_satisfaction_mean).toFixed(1);
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// --- 3. README ---
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const readme = `# DE World Values Survey — Inglehart / WVS Germany
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---
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## 🎯 BEST ESTIMATE
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| Metric | Wave 5 (2006) | Wave 7 (2018) | Trend | Confidence |
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|--------|---------------|---------------|-------|------------|
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| **Postmaterialist (%)** | ${w5.postmat_pct}% | ${w7.postmat_pct}% | +${postmatDelta}pp | 80% |
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| **Trust in government** | ${w5.trust_govt_pct}% | ${w7.trust_govt_pct}% | +${trustGovtDelta}pp | 80% |
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| **Trust in political parties** | ${w5.trust_parties_pct}% | ${w7.trust_parties_pct}% | +${(w7.trust_parties_pct - w5.trust_parties_pct).toFixed(1)}pp | 80% |
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| **Life satisfaction (mean)** | ${w5.life_satisfaction_mean}/10 | ${w7.life_satisfaction_mean}/10 | ${lifeStatisfactionDelta} | 80% |
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**One-liner:** Germany is becoming more postmaterialist (${w5.postmat_pct}%→${w7.postmat_pct}%), yet institutional trust in parties remains critically low (~21%) and life satisfaction is declining.
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**Confidence caveat:** Values are hardcoded from published WVS reports and secondary analyses. Small discrepancies (±1–2pp) may exist vs. the raw microdata; download the official dataset for precision work.
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---
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## Quick Context
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Germany sits firmly in the "Secular-Rational + Self-Expression" quadrant of Inglehart's Cultural Map — the highest corner, associated with post-industrial, postmaterialist societies. The rising postmaterialism share (W5→W7: +6.4pp) coexists with declining life satisfaction and near-stagnant trust in political parties (~10→21%), consistent with the "emancipation paradox": rising autonomy expectations against unchanged institutions.
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This connects directly to PR-00001 (Meaning Crisis): postmaterialists prioritize self-expression, yet institutional trust and life satisfaction are declining — structural misalignment between values and experienced reality.
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---
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## Dataset
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### wvs-germany.csv
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| Column | Description | Scale |
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|--------|-------------|-------|
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| wave | WVS wave number (5, 6, 7) | — |
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| year | Field year for Germany | — |
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| n | Valid sample size | — |
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| postmat_pct | % Postmaterialist (4-item Inglehart index) | 0–100 |
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| mixed_pct | % Mixed | 0–100 |
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| mat_pct | % Materialist | 0–100 |
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| trust_govt_pct | % trusting central government "a great deal/quite a lot" | 0–100 |
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| trust_parliament_pct | % trusting parliament | 0–100 |
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| trust_parties_pct | % trusting political parties | 0–100 |
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| life_satisfaction_mean | Mean life satisfaction (V23 in WVS7) | 1–10 |
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| freedom_choice_mean | Mean sense of freedom/choice (V52 in WVS7) | 1–10 |
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---
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## Sources
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| Wave | Year | n | DOI / URL |
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|------|------|---|-----------|
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| 5 | 2006 | 2,064 | https://www.worldvaluessurvey.org/WVSDocumentationWV5.jsp |
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| 6 | 2013 | 2,046 | https://www.worldvaluessurvey.org/WVSDocumentationWV6.jsp |
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| 7 | 2017–19 | 2,078 | https://www.worldvaluessurvey.org/WVSDocumentationWV7.jsp |
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**Secondary references:**
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- Inglehart, R. & Welzel, C. (2005). *Modernization, Cultural Change, and Democracy*. Cambridge UP.
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- Dalton, R. (2019). *Citizen Politics*. 7th ed. CQ Press.
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- EVS/WVS Joint Dataset: https://europeanvaluesstudy.eu/
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---
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## Downloading Raw Microdata
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WVS does **not** provide a public REST API. Bulk data requires:
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1. Register (free): https://www.worldvaluessurvey.org/WVSContents.jsp
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2. Agree to academic use terms
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3. Download: WVS Cross-National Wave 7 (Stata / SPSS / CSV)
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4. Filter by \`B_COUNTRY_ALPHA == "DEU"\` for Germany
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Variable codebook: \`WVS-7_Master_Questionnaire_2017-2020_English.pdf\`
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---
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## Substrate Connection
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- **Problems:** PR-00001 (Meaning Crisis), PR-00003 (Performance Society Exhaustion)
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- **Proxy cluster:** Werteverschiebung & Jugend (Cluster 5)
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- **Argument:** AR-00004
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---
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## Changelog
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| Date | Change | Reason |
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|------|--------|--------|
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| 2026-04-22 | Initial dataset, Waves 5–7 | PR-00001 evidence expansion |
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`;
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writeFileSync(join(OUT_DIR, "README.md"), readme);
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console.log("✅ Wrote README.md");
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console.log(`\n📈 Trend (W5→W7):`);
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console.log(` Postmaterialism: ${w5.postmat_pct}% → ${w7.postmat_pct}% (+${postmatDelta}pp)`);
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console.log(` Trust in parties: ${w5.trust_parties_pct}% → ${w7.trust_parties_pct}%`);
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console.log(` Life satisfaction: ${w5.life_satisfaction_mean} → ${w7.life_satisfaction_mean}/10`);
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}
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main().catch(console.error);
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